
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Boston United |
| 53.24% ( | 25.4% ( | 21.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( | 55.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( | 76.72% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( | 20.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.39% ( | 53.6% ( |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.34% ( | 77.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% ( 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 42 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 86 | 36 | 50 | 92 |
| 2 | York City | 42 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 87 | 40 | 47 | 86 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 42 | 20 | 15 | 7 | 63 | 40 | 23 | 75 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 66 |
| 6 | Rochdale | 41 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 64 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 64 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 60 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 60 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 60 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 42 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 55 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 54 |
| 15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 53 |
| 16 | Woking | 42 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 52 |
| 17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 51 |
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 51 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 49 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 49 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 44 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 44 |
| 23 | Fylde | 42 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 47 | 77 | -30 | 39 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 42 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 38 | 89 | -51 | 22 |
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