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Aldershot Town
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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
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Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
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Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
2 - 3
Boston

Henderson (80'), Bird (88')
Beckwith (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hazel (25'), Mills (28'), Knowles (69')
Green (45+1'), Richards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Rochdale and Boston United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Boston
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Boston United

With both sides in strong form, Tuesday's clash will likely to be a closely-fought contest and the victor may only win by a one-goal margin. Considering Rochdale's position in the league, it would not be surprising if they managed to take all three points against Boston United. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawBoston United
53.24% (0.838 0.84) 25.4% (-0.277 -0.28) 21.36% (-0.556 -0.56)
Both teams to score 46.58% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (0.462 0.46)55.55% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (0.377 0.38)76.72% (-0.37299999999999 -0.37)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.53700000000001 0.54)20.89% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (0.831 0.83)53.6% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.305 -0.31)41.11% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (-0.27 -0.27)77.66% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 53.23%
    Boston United 21.36%
    Draw 25.4%
RochdaleDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.23%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.36%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Boston

Rochdale
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Boston United
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Boston
0-3
Rochdale

Mills (38'), Hill (90+1'), Hill (90+1')
Rodney (15', 40'), Henderson (90+2')
Gilmour (28'), Beckwith (45+3'), Adebayo-Rowling (53'), Allarakhia (80')
Dec 16, 2019 7.30pm
Second Round
Boston
1-2
Rochdale
Thewlis (49')
Thewlis (45'), Penny (54'), Platt (91')
Crook (4' og.), Morley (79' pen.)
Pyke (54'), Dooley (86')
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Second Round
Rochdale
0-0
Boston
Abbott (77'), Duhaney (81')
Dec 30, 2006 3pm
Sep 23, 2006 3pm
Boston
0-3
Rochdale

Talbot (8')
Doolan (90'), Dagnall (7', 33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet42288686365092
2York City42268887404786
3Forest Green RoversForest Green422015763402375
4Oldham AthleticOldham4217151059451466
5Gateshead421991472601266
6Rochdale4118101361402164
7Halifax TownHalifax421713124740764
8AltrinchamAltrincham421612146253960
9Southend UnitedSouthend421515125248460
10Tamworth421612145963-460
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool421317125352156
12Sutton UnitedSutton421413155458-455
13Yeovil TownYeovil421510174854-655
14Eastleigh421315145456-254
15Aldershot TownAldershot421314156674-853
16Woking421216144454-1052
17Solihull MoorsSolihull41149185560-551
18Braintree TownBraintree42149194958-951
19Boston UnitedBoston421310194860-1249
20WealdstoneWealdstone421213175269-1749
21Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red421014185360-744
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead42128224972-2344
23Fylde42116254777-3039
24Ebbsfleet42313263889-5122


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