Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.