Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
41.81% (![]() | 25.47% (![]() | 32.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% (![]() | 48.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% (![]() | 70.58% (![]() |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% (![]() | 23.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% (![]() | 56.86% (![]() |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% (![]() | 28.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% (![]() | 63.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 46 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 97 | 38 | 59 | 102 |
2 | York City | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 95 | 42 | 53 | 96 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 83 |
4 | Rochdale | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 44 | 25 | 74 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 73 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 70 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 68 |
8 | Gateshead | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 67 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 62 | 6 | 64 |
10 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 64 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 60 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 58 |
15 | Woking | 46 | 13 | 19 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 58 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 56 |
18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 56 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 55 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 76 | -20 | 53 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 52 |
23 | Fylde | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 40 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 22 |
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