

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 41.81% (  -1.02) | 25.47% (  0.1) | 32.72% (  0.92) | 
| Both teams to score 55.34% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.55% (  -0.15) | 48.45% (  0.14) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.42% (  -0.13) | 70.58% (  0.13) | 
| Southend United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.96% (  -0.56) | 23.04% (  0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.14% (  -0.82) | 56.86% (  0.82) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.9% (  0.52) | 28.1% (  -0.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.23% (  0.66) | 63.77% (  -0.66) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Southend United | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 1-0 @ 9.5% (  -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.86% (  -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.98% (  -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.33% (  -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.41% (  -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.75% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.25% (  -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.01% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 6.47% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.22% (  0.17) 1-2 @ 7.66% (  0.14) 0-2 @ 5.22% (  0.18) 1-3 @ 3.24% (  0.11) 2-3 @ 2.38% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 2.21% (  0.11) 1-4 @ 1.03% (  0.05) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.72% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 46 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 97 | 38 | 59 | 102 | 
| 2 | York City | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 95 | 42 | 53 | 96 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 83 | 
| 4 | Rochdale | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 44 | 25 | 74 | 
| 5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 73 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 70 | 
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 68 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 67 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 62 | 6 | 64 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 64 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 60 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 60 | 
| 13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 | 
| 14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 58 | 
| 15 | Woking | 46 | 13 | 19 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 58 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 57 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 56 | 
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 56 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 55 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 76 | -20 | 53 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 52 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 40 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 22 | 
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