Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Yeovil Town | 
| 47.29% (  0.92) | 25.58% (  -0.02) | 27.13% (  -0.89) | 
| Both teams to score 51.91% (  -0.57) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.5% (  -0.44) | 51.5% (  0.44) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.7% (  -0.38) | 73.3% (  0.38) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.22% (  0.23) | 21.78% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.02% (  0.35) | 54.98% (  -0.35) | 
| Yeovil Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.36% (  -0.93) | 33.64% (  0.93) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.71% (  -1.03) | 70.29% (  1.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rochdale | Draw | Yeovil Town | 
| 1-0 @ 11.16% (  0.27) 2-1 @ 9.27% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 8.51% (  0.26) 3-1 @ 4.71% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 4.32% (  0.16) 3-2 @ 2.57% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% (  0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 12.16% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 5.05% (  -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.93% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.98% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.63% (  -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.35% (  -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% (  -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.58% (  -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.13% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 79 | 
| 2 | York City | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 70 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 67 | 
| 4 | Gateshead | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 60 | 
| 5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 58 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 56 | 
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 55 | 
| 8 | Eastleigh | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 51 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 | 
| 10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 47 | 
| 12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 | 
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 44 | 
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 44 | 
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 43 | 
| 16 | Woking | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 40 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 | 
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | 
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 36 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 36 | 
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 | 
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 36 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 25 | 78 | -53 | 14 | 
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