

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 49.89% ( | 24.47% ( | 25.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( | 70.18% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( | 19.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.99% ( | 51% ( |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.42% ( | 69.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 |
| 2 | York City | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 57 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 56 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
| 15 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 47 |
| 17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 |
| 19 | Woking | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 41 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 21 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 |
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