Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 35.64% ( | 26.39% ( | 37.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.11% ( | 51.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.36% ( | 73.64% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( | 27.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.4% ( | 63.6% ( |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( | 26.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.16% ( | 61.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 15 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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