MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 02:53:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 32
Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 1
Darlington

Salmon (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornish (87')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
42.92% (0.189 0.19) 27.69% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 29.39% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 47.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-0.434 -0.43)58.35% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.341 -0.34)78.96% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.101 -0.1)26.92% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.134 -0.13)62.24% (0.133 0.13)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (-0.44800000000001 -0.45)35.52% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.467 -0.47)72.28% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.91%
    Darlington 29.39%
    Draw 27.68%
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.39%

How you voted: Alfreton vs Darlington

Alfreton Town
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Darlington
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2024 7.45pm
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Darlington
0-2
Alfreton
McDonagh (47' pen.), Day (90+2')
Cantrill (88')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Alfreton
2-3
Darlington
Day (49'), Thewlis (80')
Nelson (17'), Barnes (66', 72')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Alfreton
2-2
Darlington
Rhead (45'), Ceesay (72')
Hazel (5'), Felix (17')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Darlington
3-1
Alfreton
Leesley (22'), Hazel (25'), Felix (90+12')
Lawlor (85' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster442681080344686
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3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe442412870304084
4Chester FCChester442312968442481
5Hereford UnitedHereford4422101267452276
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn442210125142976
7Buxton442351672492374
8Chorley4420131166481873
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton4421101355401573
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4419131273502370
11Darlington441715125852666
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports441711165451362
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath441512176257557
14Alfreton TownAlfreton441413175056-655
15Marine AFC441510194054-1455
16Leamington FCLeamington44159205153-254
17South Shields44166225967-854
18RadcliffeRadcliffe441311205569-1450
19Oxford CityOxford City441214185572-1750
20SouthportSouthport441213194157-1649
21Needham Market44109254372-2939
22Rushall Olympic4498274090-5035
23Warrington Town44612263468-3430
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic44753235105-7026


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