Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 0-1 Nacional
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Nacional 2-1 Gil Vicente
Despite suffering a 1-0 defeat last time out at home to relegation-threatened Estrela, Nacional, who had scored in six consecutive fixtures in Madeira, will feel confident in inflicting more misery on Gil Vicente. Having already secured four wins in seven at their home ground, the promoted side should carve out a narrow victory over the struggling Galos. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Gil Vicente |
31.64% ( 0.64) | 27.08% ( 0.23) | 41.28% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
