Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.