Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.