Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
33.69% (![]() | 24.94% (![]() | 41.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% (![]() | 45.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% (![]() | 68.15% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% (![]() | 26.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% (![]() | 61.33% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% (![]() | 22.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% (![]() | 55.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 7.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.69% | 1-1 @ 11.71% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.84% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |