

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 39.33% (  -0.54) | 24.85% (  -0.13) | 35.83% (  0.67) | 
| Both teams to score 58.21% (  0.57) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.97% (  0.7) | 45.03% (  -0.7) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.62% (  0.66) | 67.38% (  -0.67) | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.23% (  0.03) | 22.77% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.54% (  0.05) | 56.46% (  -0.05) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.38% (  0.7) | 24.62% (  -0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.87% (  0.98) | 59.13% (  -0.98) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 2-1 @ 8.6% (  -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.3% (  -0.24) 2-0 @ 6.14% (  -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.24% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.03% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.97% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 1.57% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% (  0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 11.62% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.03% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 5.61% (  -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.39% (  0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.15% (  0.1) 0-1 @ 7.86% (  -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.51% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 3.81% (  0.12) 2-3 @ 2.82% (  0.09) 0-3 @ 2.57% (  0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% (  0.07) 2-4 @ 0.99% (  0.05) 0-4 @ 0.9% (  0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.83% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 | 
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 | 
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 | 
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
