

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 39.33% ( | 24.85% ( | 35.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( | 45.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( | 22.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.54% ( | 56.46% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( | 24.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.87% ( | 59.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
