Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 47.78% ( | 23.54% | 28.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( | 41.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% | 64.05% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( | 17.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.74% ( | 48.25% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( | 27.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.14% ( | 62.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.78% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
| 4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
| 9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
