

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose | 
| 41.06% (  0.02) | 26.13% (  0.17) | 32.81% (  -0.19) | 
| Both teams to score 53.18% (  -0.61) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.76% (  -0.76) | 51.24% (  0.76) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.92% (  -0.67) | 73.07% (  0.67) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.35% (  -0.33) | 24.65% (  0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.83% (  -0.47) | 59.16% (  0.46) | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.58% (  -0.5) | 29.42% (  0.5) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.58% (  -0.62) | 65.41% (  0.62) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose | 
| 1-0 @ 10.15% (  0.21) 2-1 @ 8.7% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.11% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 4.06% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.32% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% (  -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.42% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.42% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 7.25% (  0.22) 2-2 @ 5.32% (  -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.01% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.87% (  0.15) 1-2 @ 7.6% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.43% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.21% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.17% (  -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.81% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 | 
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 | 
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 | 
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 | 
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 | 
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 | 
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
