

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 51.62% ( | 23.09% ( | 25.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( | 42.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( | 64.63% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% ( | 16.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.9% ( | 46.11% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( | 30.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.68% ( | 66.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
