Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
31.69% (![]() | 26.22% (![]() | 42.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.06% (![]() | 51.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% (![]() | 73.68% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.26% (![]() | 66.73% (![]() |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% (![]() | 24.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.13% (![]() | 58.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 8.85% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 12.47% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 10.5% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |