

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 59.16% (  -0.02) | 22.76% (  -0) | 18.08% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 49.21% (  0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.58% (  0.04) | 49.42% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.54% (  0.04) | 71.46% (  -0.04) | 
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.64% (  0.01) | 16.36% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.02% (  0.02) | 45.98% (  -0.02) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.83% (  0.05) | 41.17% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.29% (  0.04) | 77.71% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 1-0 @ 12.19% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.03% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% (  0) 3-0 @ 6.66% (  -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% (  0) 4-0 @ 3.01% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.68% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.62% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% (  0) 5-0 @ 1.09% (  -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% (  0) Other @ 2% Total : 59.15% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 6.74% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.35% (  0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.98% (  -0) 1-2 @ 4.8% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 2.65% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.42% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.29% (  0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.08% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 | 
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 | 
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 | 
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
