

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 59.16% ( | 22.76% ( | 18.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( | 49.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( | 71.46% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( | 16.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.02% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.29% ( | 77.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 2-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2% Total : 59.15% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
