Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.