Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
39.9% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() | 34.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% (![]() | 47.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% (![]() | 69.97% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.3% (![]() | 23.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.18% (![]() | 57.82% (![]() |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.42% (![]() | 26.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.2% (![]() | 61.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 9.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.35% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |