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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Brighton logo

Man City
2 - 2
Brighton

Haaland (11' pen.), Marmoush (39')
Savio (15'), Doku (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Estupinan (21'), Khusanov (48' og.)
Pedro (10'), Mitoma (18'), Balepa (26'), Wieffer (89'), Verbruggen (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Man City miss the opportunity to climb back into the top four of the Premier League after being held to an entertaining 2-2 draw by fellow Champions League hopefuls Brighton at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Man City
Saturday, March 8 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
55.48% (0.3 0.3) 20.32% (-0.084 -0.08) 24.19% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 67.29% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01% (0.17400000000001 0.17)29.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82% (0.21100000000001 0.21)51.17% (-0.21 -0.21)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96% (0.136 0.14)11.04% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63% (0.298 0.3)35.37% (-0.297 -0.3)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)24.35% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)58.75% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 55.48%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 24.19%
    Draw 20.32%
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.027 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.24% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 8.37% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.19%

How you voted: Man City vs Brighton

Manchester City
71.3%
Draw
15.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion
13.1%
237
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Brighton
2-1
Man City
Pedro (78'), O'Riley (83')
Ayari (19'), Julio (44'), Paul van Hecke (90+10')
Haaland (23')
Lewis (37'), Simpson-Pussey (77'), Haaland (90+10')
Apr 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Brighton
0-4
Man City

Veltman (35'), Balepa (76')
De Bruyne (17'), Foden (26', 34'), Alvarez (62')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Man City
2-1
Brighton
Alvarez (7'), Haaland (19')
Rodri (38'), Akanji (63'), Grealish (84')
Akanji (90+5')
Fati (73')
March (36'), Julio (64')
May 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Brighton
1-1
Man City
Enciso (38')
Veltman (89'), Paul van Hecke (90+1')
Foden (25')
Silva (41'), Guardiola (83')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Man City
3-1
Brighton
Braut Haaland (22', 43' pen.), De Bruyne (75')
Trossard (53')
Build-up
Manchester City's Rodri on November 23, 2024
Man City injury, suspension news and return dates for Brighton & Hove Albion match: Rodri, Nathan Ake, John Stones latest
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Mar 12, 10:32
Manchester City's Phil Foden and Omar Marmoush celebrate on February 15, 2025
Man City lineup vs. Brighton: Predicted XI for Premier League clash
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Mar 13, 17:12
Brighton & Hove Albion's Lewis Dunk pictured on October 26, 2024
Brighton lineup vs. Man City: Predicted XI for Premier League clash
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brighton & Hove Albion could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
Mar 13, 17:13
Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates on February 11, 2025
Man City vs. Brighton: Erling Haaland bidding to become a centurion and set new Premier League record
Erling Haaland will attempt to set a fresh Premier League record when Manchester City welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Mar 13, 18:14
SM-EK BHA composite
Man City vs. Brighton: Pep Guardiola's side must score 'minimum of two goals' as out-of-form star is tipped to be dropped
Man City must score 'a minimum of two goals' if they wish to beat Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday, Citizens expert Steven McInerney tells Sports Mole.
Mar 13, 18:40
Manchester City head coach Pep Guardiola on December 21, 2024
Man City vs. Brighton: Pep Guardiola at risk of setting unwanted personal record in Premier League clash
Pep Guardiola is at risk of setting an unwanted personal record when Manchester City welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Mar 14, 14:31
Brighton & Hove Albion's Joao Pedro celebrates on August 24, 2024.
Man City vs. Brighton: Joao Pedro looking to break Premier League scoring record, equal Richarlison feat
Joao Pedro will be looking to break a new Premier League record for Brighton & Hove Albion when they travel to the Etihad Stadium to face Manchester City on Saturday.
Mar 14, 14:52
Manchester City's Omar Marmoush celebrates on February 15, 2025
Man City vs. Brighton confirmed lineups: Omar Marmoush returns as Pep Guardiola makes injury-enforced change
Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion confirm their starting lineups for this afternoon's Premier League clash at the Etihad Stadium.
Mar 15, 13:50
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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