Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.