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Premier League

Southampton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Brighton logo

Southampton
0 - 4
Brighton


Ugochukwu (2'), Ramsdale (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (23'), Rutter (56'), Mitoma (71'), Hinshelwood (82')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton are condemned to an eighth successive home defeat in the Premier League as Brighton & Hove Albion run riot in a 4-0 thrashing at St Mary's.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brighton & Hove Albion could line up for Saturday's Premier League showdown with Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 57.69%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
21.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)20.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)57.69% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.57% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.19% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)35.81% (0.118 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.11% (-0.123 -0.12)57.89% (0.13 0.13)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)29.8% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)65.87% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)12.3% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)38.07% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 21.49%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 57.69%
    Draw 20.82%
SouthamptonDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 4.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 21.49%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.82%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.62%
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.5% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 57.69%

How you voted: Southampton vs Brighton

Southampton
8.0%
Draw
10.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion
81.6%
125
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