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Premier League

Nottingham Forest logo
Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK
The City Ground
Southampton logo

Nott'm Forest
3 - 2
Southampton

Anderson (11'), Hudson-Odoi (28'), Wood (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bednarek (60'), Onuachu (90+1')
Downes (33'), Walker-Peters (57'), Aribo (90+5'), Ugochukwu (90+11')

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest continue their incredible season with a win over Southampton, and are now on an eight-game unbeaten streak in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Southampton could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Nottingham Forest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Premier League

Southampton

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Southampton
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
50.29% (0.827 0.83)24.14% (0.058 0.06)25.57% (-0.89 -0.89)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-1.038 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-0.983 -0.98)46.63% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (-0.928 -0.93)68.9% (0.923 0.92)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)18.58% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)49.85% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (-1.23 -1.23)32.3% (1.228 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-1.411 -1.41)68.8% (1.408 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 50.29%
    Southampton 25.57%
    Draw 24.13%
Nottingham ForestDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.394 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.319 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6% (0.244 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Southampton

Nottingham Forest
90.0%
Draw
4.6%
Southampton
5.4%
130
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
0-1
Nott'm Forest

Armstrong (11'), Downes (29'), Bednarek (82')
Gibbs-White (70')
Espirito Santo (20'), Sangare (54'), Wood (61'), Dominguez (88')
> Match Report
May 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 35
Nott'm Forest
4-3
Southampton
Awoniyi (18', 21'), Gibbs-White (44' pen.), Danilo (73')
Alcaraz (25'), Lyanco (51'), Ward-Prowse (90+6' pen.)
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
0-1
Nott'm Forest
Awoniyi (27')
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2012 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-3
Southampton

Chambers (50')
Schneiderlin (79'), Connolly (65')
Hooiveld (25')
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Nott'm Forest
Lambert (8', 24', 82')
Connolly (33'), Cork (51')
Majewski (42'), Derbyshire (7')
Moussi (26'), Gunter (33'), Derbyshire (81')