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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Swansea logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Swansea

Deen Sulemana (20'), Obling (35', 65')
Manning (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Grimes (60'), Allen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSwansea City
22.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.15%55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.75% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)40.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23% (0.007000000000005 0.01)62.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (0.012999999999991 0.01)31.18% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.012999999999998 0.01)67.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.25%42.76% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 22.86%
    Swansea City 55%
    Draw 22.14%
SouthamptonDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.32%
2-0 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 22.86%
1-1 @ 10.21%
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.29%
0-3 @ 5.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55%

How you voted: Southampton vs Swansea

Southampton
62.7%
Swansea City
37.3%
59
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-3
Southampton
Paterson (40')
Fulton (45+2'), Darling (78')
Adams (6'), Smallbone (20'), Downes (45')
Harwood-Bellis (17'), Charles (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Southampton
5-0
Swansea
Aribo (17'), Edozie (48'), Fraser (74', 87'), Adams (90+3')
Bednarek (34'), Aribo (38')

Cullen (24'), Tymon (55'), Fulton (56'), Allen (83')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 5.30pm
Third Round
Swansea
2-3
Southampton
Piroe (77'), Bednarek (94' og.)
Bennett (43'), Cooper (45+1'), Walsh (59'), Dhanda (90+3')
Redmond (8'), Elyounoussi (95'), Long (102')
Valery (3')
Valery (30')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Swansea
1-3
Southampton
Salisu (13' og.)
Tella (14'), Redmond (22'), Armstrong (57')
Aug 29, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Southampton
7-1
Swansea
Adams (6'), Redmond (13'), Ings (20', 42'), Ward-Prowse (34', 45'), Bertrand (35')
Fulton (110')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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