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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Swansea City |
| 32.82% ( | 25.2% ( | 41.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( | 47.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( | 69.49% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( | 27.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( | 62.95% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( | 22.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( | 55.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.98% |