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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Swansea logo

Portsmouth
4 - 0
Swansea

Murphy (22'), Lane (29'), Towler (61'), Bishop (78')
Pack (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawSwansea City
32.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)25.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)69.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.98% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 32.82%
    Swansea City 41.98%
    Draw 25.2%
PortsmouthDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.98%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Swansea

Portsmouth
28.9%
Draw
35.5%
Swansea City
35.5%
76
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swansea
2-2
Portsmouth
Ogilvie (45+2' og.), Cullen (54')
Cabango (9')
Ritchie (25'), Murphy (45')
Pack (1'), Mousinho (2'), Ritchie (35'), Cullen (36'), Blair (83'), Dozzell (83')
Apr 23, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Swansea
Kitson (23'), Nugent (29'), Hogg (86')
Borini (66'), Monk (83'), Britton (90')
Nov 26, 2010 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Portsmouth
Beattie (2')
Halford (65'), Nugent (43')
Halford (19'), Nugent (45'), Lawrence (56')