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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
2 - 1
Luton

Franco (38'), Peart-Harris (90+1')
Grimes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morris (5')
McGuinness (30'), Johnson (31'), Clark (60')
Johnson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 QPR
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Luton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
53.75% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)22.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.36%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.75%
    Luton Town 22.01%
    Draw 24.23%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.01%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
64.8%
Draw
15.5%
Luton Town
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Luton
1-1
Swansea
Adebayo (17')
Grimes (64')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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