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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 1
Swansea

Adebayo (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grimes (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Luton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Swansea City

This match is difficult to call as one of the worst defences square off against one of the poorest attacks. With that in mind, we are playing it safe and predicting a competitive draw, a result that suits neither of these teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 31.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.59% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)74.24% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.57% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)31.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.38%
    Swansea City 31.27%
    Draw 26.35%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
34.6%
Swansea City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Gameweek 36
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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