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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 30.59% (  4.23) | 26.47% (  2.27) | 42.94% (  -6.51) | 
| Both teams to score 51.28% (  -4.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.69% (  -7.08) | 53.31% (  7.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.14% (  -6.33) | 74.86% (  6.33) | 
| Swansea City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.02% (  -0.52) | 31.98% (  0.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% (  -0.6) | 68.44% (  0.6) | 
| Leeds United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.38% (  -5.86) | 24.61% (  5.86) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% (  -8.97) | 59.12% (  8.97) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 1-0 @ 8.97% (  2.15) 2-1 @ 7.17% (  0.57) 2-0 @ 5.12% (  1.17) 3-1 @ 2.73% (  0.18) 3-0 @ 1.94% (  0.42) 3-2 @ 1.91% (  -0.22) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.58% (  1.16) 0-0 @ 7.87% (  1.97) 2-2 @ 5.03% (  -0.5) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.03% (  1.16) 1-2 @ 8.82% (  -0.74) 0-2 @ 7.73% (  -0.53) 1-3 @ 4.12% (  -1.21) 0-3 @ 3.61% (  -1) 2-3 @ 2.35% (  -0.73) 1-4 @ 1.44% (  -0.79) 0-4 @ 1.27% (  -0.66) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.94% |