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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Leeds logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Leeds

Darling (8'), Cullen (45+3'), Bianchini (90')
Peart-Harris (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Solomon (20', 73'), Cabango (55' og.), Gnonto (90+1')
James (53'), Byram (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 QPR
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
30.59% (4.232 4.23)26.47% (2.274 2.27)42.94% (-6.505 -6.51)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-4.409 -4.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-7.081 -7.08)53.31% (7.082 7.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-6.333 -6.33)74.86% (6.335 6.33)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.521 -0.52)31.98% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.598 -0.6)68.44% (0.599 0.6)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-5.857 -5.86)24.61% (5.857 5.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (-8.97 -8.97)59.12% (8.97 8.97)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 30.59%
    Leeds United 42.94%
    Draw 26.47%
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.97% (2.15 2.15)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.566 0.57)
2-0 @ 5.12% (1.17 1.17)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.423 0.42)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 12.58% (1.16 1.16)
0-0 @ 7.87% (1.971 1.97)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 11.03% (1.156 1.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.739 -0.74)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.529 -0.53)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-1.212 -1.21)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.996 -1)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.787 -0.79)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.662 -0.66)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Leeds

Swansea City
15.2%
Draw
18.5%
Leeds United
66.3%
92
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
0-4
Leeds

Wood (28'), Tymon (42'), Allen (68')
Summerville (8'), Piroe (10'), Gnonto (35', 72')
Piroe (65')
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
3-1
Swansea
Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')
Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
0-1
Leeds
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-1
Swansea

Alioski (21'), Phillips (95')
Routledge (90')
Fulton (78'), Byers (95')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Leeds
2-1
Swansea
Jansson (20'), Harrison (34')
Harrison (94')
McBurnie (87' pen.)