

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 25.39% (  0.23) | 23.28% (  0.02) | 51.33% (  -0.25) | 
| Both teams to score 57.83% (  0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.03% (  0.09) | 42.97% (  -0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.63% (  0.09) | 65.37% (  -0.09) | 
| Swansea City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.51% (  0.23) | 30.49% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.3% (  0.27) | 66.7% (  -0.27) | 
| Leeds United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.19% (  -0.06) | 16.81% (  0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.22% (  -0.1) | 46.78% (  0.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United | 
| 2-1 @ 6.45% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 6.09% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 3.62% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 2.55% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% (  0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.75% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 5.12% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% (  0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.68% (  -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.14% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.15% (  -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.75% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.84% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.42% (  0.01) 1-4 @ 2.57% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.16% (  -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% (  0) 1-5 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.33% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 | 
| 2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 | 
| 3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 | 
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 | 
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 | 
| 8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 | 
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 | 
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 | 
| 11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 | 
| 13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 | 
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 | 
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 | 
| 17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 | 
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 | 
| 20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 | 
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 | 
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 | 
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 | 
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