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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
25.39% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 51.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.03% (![]() | 42.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.63% (![]() | 65.37% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% (![]() | 30.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.3% (![]() | 66.7% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.22% (![]() | 46.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 6.45% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.68% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
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