

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 20.74% ( | 23.61% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( | 49.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( | 71.38% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( | 38.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.03% ( | 74.96% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( | 17.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.87% ( | 48.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 3-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-2 @ 10.14% ( 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-3 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 5.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-4 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 55.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
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