MX23RW : Monday, April 28 16:11:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 2
Porto

Begraoui (15' pen.)
Boma (7'), Pina (32'), Xeka (45+4'), Amaral (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Omorodion (45' pen.), Mora Carvalho (64')
Perez (75'), Moura (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 AVS
Saturday, March 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Porto

Porto are favourites to secure a hard-fought victory, as their superior quality and need to stay competitive should see them exploit Estoril's defensive frailties despite the hosts' attacking promise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
20.74% (-0.269 -0.27) 23.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 55.64% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)49.33% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)71.38% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.313 -0.31)38.2% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-0.305 -0.31)74.96% (0.306 0.31)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.096000000000004 0.1)17.57% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (0.165 0.16)48.13% (-0.165 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 20.74%
    Porto 55.63%
    Draw 23.61%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.74%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.88% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.66% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.63%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
0.0%
Draw
4.5%
Porto
95.5%
22
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Loader (19'), Pepe (28'), Galeno (77', 87')

Alvaro (36'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (67')
Mar 30, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Estoril
1-0
Porto
Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31236283255875
2Benfica31243480255575
3Braga31197552262664
4Porto31195757282962
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes311312644321251
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara31155113129250
7FamalicaoFamalicao31111194034644
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3199133645-936
11Nacional3196162842-1433
12AroucaArouca3189143047-1733
13Rio AveRio Ave3189143351-1833
14Gil Vicente3188153143-1232
15Estrela Amadora3178162443-1929
16AVS31412152355-3224
17SC FarenseFarense3149182042-2221
18BoavistaBoavista3156202052-3221


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