Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.