Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
20.74% (![]() | 23.61% (![]() | 55.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% (![]() | 49.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.61% (![]() | 71.38% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% (![]() | 38.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.03% (![]() | 74.96% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% (![]() | 17.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.87% (![]() | 48.13% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 11.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 11.67% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.14% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 55.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 41 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |