We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Rio Ave
This encounter has the mark of a tightly contested battle, with both sides showing resilience in recent times, but we expect Estoril to edge it, given they are in a more explosive form, with Rio's poor away record also playing a factor.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Estoril Praia.