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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Rio Ave

Estoril
2 - 1
Rio Ave

Begraoui (55'), Orellana (90')
Bacher (25'), Alvaro (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morais (83')
Bakoulas (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 AVS
Sunday, February 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Rio Ave

This encounter has the mark of a tightly contested battle, with both sides showing resilience in recent times, but we expect Estoril to edge it, given they are in a more explosive form, with Rio's poor away record also playing a factor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Estoril Praia.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
38.83% (-0.51 -0.51) 27.23% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09) 33.94% (0.604 0.6)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.45699999999999 0.46)55.46% (-0.458 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.375 0.38)76.65% (-0.375 -0.38)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)27.8% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)63.39% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (0.631 0.63)30.79% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (0.735 0.73)67.06% (-0.735 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 38.83%
    Rio Ave 33.93%
    Draw 27.22%
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.93%

How you voted: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril Praia
68.8%
Draw
31.3%
Rio Ave
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-2
Estoril
Bondoso (9'), Clayton (59')
Pantalon (90'), Tiknaz (90+3')
Marques (64'), Pina (68')
Zanocelo (27'), Mangala (85')
Jan 31, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rio Ave
1-1
Estoril
Boateng (56')
Patrick (20'), Joca (46'), Costinha (90+4'), Oudrhiri (90+1')
Tavares (85')
Feltes (55'), Mangala (84'), Gomes (90+3')
Aug 20, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
2-0
Rio Ave
Mangala (55'), Marques (90+8')
Vital (5'), Araujo (75'), Holsgrove (77'), Marques (86')

Pantalon (21'), Boateng (90+5')
Feb 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
Rio Ave
2-0
Estoril
Pereira (65' pen.), Joaozinho (90+5' og.)
Aug 19, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estoril
2-2
Rio Ave
Martins (6'), Gouveia (80')
Gouveia (14'), Tavares (66'), Ndiaye (90+2'), Vital (90+4')
Costinha (61'), Yakubu (73')
Pantalon (10'), Amaral (22'), Vitor (83')
Ferreira (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon29216275245169
2Benfica28222469234668
3Porto29185655253059
4Braga28176545242157
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes291212541291248
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara29144112828046
7FamalicaoFamalicao29111083831743
8Casa Pia29117113437-340
9Estoril PraiaEstoril29109103846-839
10MoreirenseMoreirense2898113439-535
11Nacional2995152738-1132
12AroucaArouca2878132743-1629
13Rio AveRio Ave2878133047-1729
14Gil Vicente2968152743-1626
15Estrela Amadora2868142241-1926
16AVS28411132144-2323
17SC FarenseFarense2839161940-2118
18BoavistaBoavista2946191947-2818


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