

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Estoril Praia win it is 0-1 (5.99%).
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 55.61% ( | 22.96% ( | 21.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( | 45.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( | 68.1% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( | 16.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.12% ( | 45.87% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( | 35.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.72% ( | 72.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 16 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
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