Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 46.41% ( | 24.99% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( | 48.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( | 70.34% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( | 30.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 32 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 38 | 41 | 81 |
| 2 | Bromley | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Barnet | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 56 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 50 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 49 |
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 48 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 39 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 38 |
| 17 | Fylde | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 38 |
| 18 | York City | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 37 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
| 20 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 34 |
| 21 | Woking | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
| 23 | Ebbsfleet | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 27 |
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