
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 48.88%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for York City had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boreham Wood | Draw | York City |
| 48.88% ( | 26.03% ( | 25.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( | 54.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( | 75.98% ( |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( | 22.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.11% ( | 55.89% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( | 37.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.16% ( | 73.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boreham Wood | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 25.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
