

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 33.09% ( | 25.01% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( | 46.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.38% ( | 68.61% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.86% ( | 62.14% ( |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( | 22.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.57% ( | 55.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 33 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
