
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | York City | 
| 59.58% (  -0.27) | 21% (  0.08) | 19.42% (  0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 57.44% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.33% (  -0.11) | 39.66% (  0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.98% (  -0.11) | 62.01% (  0.11) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.01% (  -0.12) | 12.98% (  0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.51% (  -0.23) | 39.48% (  0.23) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.01% (  0.13) | 33.98% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.33% (  0.14) | 70.66% (  -0.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gateshead | Draw | York City | 
| 2-1 @ 9.92% (  -0) 2-0 @ 9.19% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.01% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 6.75% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.26% (  -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.65% (  -0) 4-1 @ 3.45% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.19% (  -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.86% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% (  -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.3% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 9.72% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% (  0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 5.25% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 4.76% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 2.57% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.93% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 0.92% (  0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.42% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 43 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 93 | 
| 2 | York City | 43 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 89 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 76 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 69 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 67 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 73 | 63 | 10 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 61 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 60 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 56 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 56 | 
| 13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 56 | 
| 14 | Eastleigh | 43 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 55 | 
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 54 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 54 | 
| 17 | Woking | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 52 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 49 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 47 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 43 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 39 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 38 | 90 | -52 | 22 | 
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