
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City | 
| 39.77% (  0.06) | 26.26% (  -0.02) | 33.97% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 53.07% (  0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.47% (  0.09) | 51.53% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.67% (  0.08) | 73.33% (  -0.07) | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.55% (  0.08) | 25.45% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.72% (  0.11) | 60.28% (  -0.1) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.18% (  0.02) | 28.82% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.33% (  0.02) | 64.67% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City | 
| 1-0 @ 10.03% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.54% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 6.87% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% (  0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 12.48% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% (  0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.13% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.77% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.68% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.36% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.21% (  0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.97% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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