Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 51.19% ( | 23.47% ( | 25.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( | 43.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( | 66.29% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( | 17.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.52% ( | 47.48% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( | 31.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.66% ( | 67.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.2% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 84 |
| 2 | Notts County | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 83 |
| 3 | Woking | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Barnet | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 55 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 54 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 53 |
| 8 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
| 9 | Bromley | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 48 |
| 11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 40 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 38 |
| 18 | York City | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 33 |
| 20 | Gateshead | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 24 |
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