Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Oxford City has a probability of 26.88% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Oxford City win is 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.1%).
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Oxford City |
| 49.37% ( | 23.74% ( | 26.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( | 43.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( | 66.22% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( | 17.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.36% ( | 48.63% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( | 29.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.13% ( | 65.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.37% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 26.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 39 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 35 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 30 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
| 18 | Woking | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 |
| 19 | York City | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
| 20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
| 21 | Oxford CityOxford City | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 20 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 19 |
| 23 | Fylde | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 17 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 15 |
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