Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.