Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
70.33% (![]() | 17.55% (![]() | 12.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% (![]() | 38.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.23% (![]() | 9.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.51% (![]() | 32.49% (![]() |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% (![]() | 42.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.07% (![]() | 78.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.26% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
> National League Full Table |