

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 70.33% ( | 17.55% ( | 12.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( | 38.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.3% ( | 60.7% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.23% ( | 9.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.51% ( | 32.49% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( | 42.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.07% ( | 78.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 3-0 @ 8.72% ( 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 4-0 @ 5.07% ( 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 5-0 @ 2.36% ( 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 6-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.55% ( 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0-2 @ 1.52% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 1-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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