

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 65.74% ( | 18.41% ( | 15.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.38% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.56% ( | 55.43% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( | 9.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.96% ( | 32.03% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( | 34.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.08% ( | 70.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 3-0 @ 7.05% ( 4-1 @ 4.44% ( 4-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.74% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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