
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford City has a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.07%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Oxford City win it is 1-2 (5.05%).
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City | 
| 61.19% (  -0.57) | 20.25% (  0.17) | 18.55% (  0.39) | 
| Both teams to score 58.49% (  0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.44% (  -0.16) | 37.55% (  0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.21% (  -0.17) | 59.78% (  0.17) | 
| Ebbsfleet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.13% (  -0.2) | 11.86% (  0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.84% (  -0.43) | 37.16% (  0.43) | 
| Oxford City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.36% (  0.32) | 33.64% (  -0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.71% (  0.35) | 70.28% (  -0.35) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oxford City | 
| 2-1 @ 9.88% (  0) 2-0 @ 9.07% (  -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.51% (  -0) 3-1 @ 7.02% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.82% (  0) 4-1 @ 3.74% (  -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.43% (  -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.04% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% (  -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.46% (  -0.05) Other @ 4.18% Total : 61.19% | 1-1 @ 9.27% (  0.08) 2-2 @ 5.38% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 3.99% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% (  0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.25% | 1-2 @ 5.05% (  0.09) 0-1 @ 4.35% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 2.37% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 1.83% (  0.05) Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.55% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 47 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 39 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 | 
| 5 | Gateshead | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 32 | 
| 6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 32 | 
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 31 | 
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 30 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 27 | 
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 26 | 
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 | 
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | 
| 17 | Woking | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 | 
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 22 | 
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 20 | 
| 21 | York City | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 | 
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 18 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 16 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 14 | 
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