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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
42.34% (![]() | 23.56% (![]() | 34.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.75% (![]() | 39.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.42% (![]() | 61.58% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% (![]() | 18.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% (![]() | 50.38% (![]() |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% (![]() | 22.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% (![]() | 56.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 8.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 10.62% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 76 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
3 | Walsall | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 72 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 69 |
6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 66 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 65 |
9 | Chesterfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 62 |
10 | Salford City | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 62 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 57 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Bromley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 56 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 55 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 47 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 46 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 46 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 44 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 43 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 37 |
24 | Morecambe | 42 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |