

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 42.34% ( | 23.56% ( | 34.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% ( | 39.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( | 18.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.62% ( | 50.38% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( | 22.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.35% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Port Vale | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 76 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 74 |
| 3 | Walsall | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 72 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 69 |
| 6 | Notts County | 43 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 66 |
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 65 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 62 |
| 10 | Salford City | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 62 |
| 11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 56 |
| 14 | Bromley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 56 |
| 15 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 55 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 47 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 46 |
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 46 |
| 21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 44 |
| 22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 43 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 37 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 42 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 36 |
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