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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Chesterfield |
48.44% (![]() | 26.3% (![]() | 25.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% (![]() | 55.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% (![]() | 76.72% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% (![]() | 22.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% (![]() | 56.75% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.6% (![]() | 37.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% (![]() | 74.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 12.63% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 12.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |