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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
56.69% (![]() | 24.2% (![]() | 19.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% (![]() | 53.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% (![]() | 75.12% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% (![]() | 18.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.82% (![]() | 50.17% (![]() |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.55% (![]() | 42.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.18% (![]() | 78.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 13.32% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.14% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 11.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |