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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
34.17% (![]() | 25.88% (![]() | 39.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% (![]() | 49.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% (![]() | 71.87% (![]() |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% (![]() | 27.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% (![]() | 63.51% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% (![]() | 59.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.62% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bradford CityBradford | 41 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 73 |
2 | Port Vale | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 73 |
3 | Walsall | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 49 | 23 | 72 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 70 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 68 |
6 | Notts County | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 68 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 41 | 20 | 5 | 16 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 65 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 41 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 62 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 61 |
10 | Chesterfield | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 58 |
11 | Salford City | 40 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 58 |
12 | Bromley | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 41 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 56 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 41 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 54 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 50 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 41 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Gillingham | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 46 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 41 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 45 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 43 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 42 |
23 | Morecambe | 41 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 36 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 34 |
> League Two Full Table |