

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Swindon Town | 
| 37.18% (  -0.65) | 23.19% (  -0.22) | 39.63% (  0.87) | 
| Both teams to score 64.56% (  0.82) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 63.15% (  1.07) | 36.85% (  -1.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.97% (  1.16) | 59.02% (  -1.16) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.78% (  0.16) | 20.21% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.46% (  0.26) | 52.53% (  -0.26) | 
| Swindon Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.92% (  0.86) | 19.08% (  -0.86) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.31% (  1.41) | 50.68% (  -1.41) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Swindon Town | 
| 2-1 @ 8.17% (  -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% (  -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.93% (  -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.35% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.6% (  0.06) 3-0 @ 2.63% (  -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.74% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.05% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 10.21% (  -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.76% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 3.86% (  -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.99% (  0.09) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 8.46% (  0.06) 0-1 @ 6.39% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.29% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% (  0.16) 2-3 @ 3.74% (  0.14) 0-3 @ 2.92% (  0.08) 1-4 @ 1.94% (  0.11) 2-4 @ 1.55% (  0.1) 0-4 @ 1.21% (  0.07) Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.63% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
