We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town
Chesterfield will be full of confidence after their strong showing in the National League last season, but they could take some time to settle into their new division.
Swindon's poor away record suggests that victory is unlikely, but with a new manager and many new signings, they could prove difficult to beat on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 37.18% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).