MX23RW : Wednesday, July 24 23:16:18| >> :60:813:813:
Chesterfield
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Esh Group Stadium
Derby logo

Chesterfield
4 - 0
Derby

Banks (41'), Grigg (44'), Berry (79', 82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Chesterfield and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Derby County

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Stockport
Friday, July 19 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Chesterfield 1-3 Derby County

 This should be a competitive contest between two well-backed sides. However, although Chesterfield may fare better than they have against other better-quality sides earlier in the month, we are still backing Derby to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 23.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawDerby County
23.97% (0.15 0.15) 23.26% (0.041 0.04) 52.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 56.31% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.26% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.64% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (0.119 0.12)32.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (0.134 0.13)68.86% (-0.127 -0.13)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)16.77% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3% (-0.131 -0.13)46.7% (0.138 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 23.97%
    Derby County 52.77%
    Draw 23.26%
ChesterfieldDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 23.97%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.77%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Derby

Chesterfield
0.0%
Draw
5.9%
Derby County
94.1%
17
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2016 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Chesterfield
1-2
Derby
O'Shea (57')
Bent (52'), Rawson (66')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Fourth Round
Derby
2-0
Chesterfield
> Match Report
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