Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gozo Stadium
Floriana0 - 1Guimaraes
Augusto Rodrigues de Araujo (44'), Zammit Lonardelli (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Floriana and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Floriana had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Floriana win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Floriana | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
35.09% ( -0.08) | 24.98% ( -0.04) | 39.93% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
