MX23RW : Saturday, May 17 04:51:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
AFC Wimbledon

Swindon
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Tshimanga (90' pen., 90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Browne (56')
Lewis (6'), O'Toole (45'), Smith (63'), Reeves (90+3')
O'Toole (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
37.52% (0.523 0.52) 27.25% (-0.138 -0.14) 35.24% (-0.375 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.09% (0.419 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (0.536 0.54)55.39% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (0.439 0.44)76.59% (-0.431 -0.43)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (0.572 0.57)28.53% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (0.708 0.71)64.32% (-0.7 -0.7)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)29.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.98% (0.035999999999994 0.04)66.03% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.51%
    AFC Wimbledon 35.24%
    Draw 27.24%
Swindon TownDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.075 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.54% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.24%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Swindon
Tilley (56')
Smith (10')
Wright (88'), Delaney (90+3')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swindon
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Drinan (51'), Devoy (71', 84')
Godwin-Malife (60'), Devoy (90+7')
Godwin-Malife (90+1')
Lewis (2', 87')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Swindon
Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!